An SIR Epidemic Model for COVID-19 Spread With Fuzzy Parameter

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Introduction

A new virus that can cause an increase in pneumonia first appeared in Wuhan, China, at the beginning of December 2019. The virus was called SARS-COV-2 and the disease associated with the virus was called COVID-19 [1]. The rapid spread of the disease throughout the world has made the World Health Organization declare the COVID-19 outbreak a global pandemic on March 12, 2020 [2]. COVID-19 is transmitted by a person infected with COVID-19 through physical contact with another person, or through small droplets from the mouth of a person with COVID-19 that is touched by another person. According to the data collected by John Hopkins University, as of the beginning of November 2020, COVID-19 has spread to 219 countries in the world with the total number of cases infected with COVID-19 reaching 53,699,160, with 1,308,261 deaths, and 37,469,072 people have been declared cured.

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