Highlights
All of these working capital investments will have to be made at the beginning of each year in which goods are sold.
• • Nike has an effective corporate tax rate of 40%. The required rate of return on the projects is 10% per annum.
Calculate the NPV for the project.
Calculate IRR for the project.
Discuss why your investment decision is either the same or different when using the IRR compared with the NPV
Calculate the payback and discounted payback period for the project.
Discuss the weaknesses of the payback period method to evaluate the project.
The management team at Nike is worried that the actual market share might differ from the expected one. The management believe that the base-case scenario is still a 2% market share in the first year that Nike enters the market, and to increase its market share by 1% a year until the tenth year. Beyond that point, Nike’s revenues are expected to grow at the same rate as the overall market. However, the best-case scenario is a 3% market share in the first year that Nike enters the market, and to increase its market share by 1.5% a year until the tenth year. Beyond that point, Nike’s revenues are expected to grow at the same rate as the overall market. The worst-case scenario, however, is a 1% market share in the first year that Nike enters the market, and to increase its market share by 0.5% a year until the tenth year. Beyond that point, Nike’s revenues are expected to grow at the same rate as the overall market. The management team is further concerned that the proportion of variable cost may change in the subsequent year. In the best-case scenario, the variable cost may decrease to 30% of sales revenue while at the worst- case scenario the variable cost may increase to 50% of sales revenue.
Calculate how sensitive the NPV of the project is to these alternative estimates of the market share and variable cost.
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