Highlights
The Essay Assignment
This assignment is intended to:
- Provide an opportunity for you to review the principle concepts relating to holistic Project Finance evaluation and risk management; and
- Provide an opportunity for you to demonstrate your capacity to extrapolate information from a case study when information is not presented in a typical financial report – which is often the case in real projects; and
- Provide an opportunity for you to demonstrate your mastery of the related concepts taught during the MComm Development Finance - Project Finance course.
In view of the foregoing, you are expected to construct an essay that incorporates responses to the instructions below. DO NOT SIMPLY ANSWER THE QUESTIONS! But
remember that a good essay:
(1) starts with a strong premise (something you hope to prove);
(2) proves it using BOTH quantitative and qualitative arguments with proof; and
(3) has a strong conclusion that connect with what you set out to demonstrate:
Comparative Analysis of the Cape Winelands vs. N4 Toll Roads (Both are located in South Africa) Using the study, “The Economic Impact of the Proposed Winelands Toll Road Project” (UCTm GSB 2008. Standish), along with the N4 Toll Road Case Study materials reviewed in class complete a comparative analysis of the two projects that includes (but is not necessarily limited to) the following.
The following Assumptions are immutable:
1. Each project must relocate a minimum of 5,000 people;
2. Each project must be routed through a community of highly socially active citizens;
3. Each project’s community is also home to the very rare (and highly) valued leopard tree frog which attracts not less than 25,000 tourists to each community annually;
4. Each project will destroy the natural habitat of the leopard tree frog – unless concrete and measurable steps are taken; and
5. Each community would strongly object to the project, unless these (and other) externalities are incorporated into each project.
Assignment Questions:
1. A Cost-Benefit Analysis of each project to make a determination as to whether each project is economically feasible. In completing the Cost-Benefit Analysis, indicate
which project offers a higher level of Internal Rate of Return (IRR)? Also run a Net Present Value (NPV) calculation on each project;
2. Next, run a Micro-Economic Analysis on each project. In this analysis, examine the findings made in the Cost-Benefit Analysis from the perspective of a range of
different stakeholders in each project;
3. Then, conduct a Micro-Economic Analysis and discuss the most important national and regional economic effects of each project. Make certain to include both the
negative and positive externalities of each project in each level of analysis; and
4. Finally, compare and contrast the two toll road projects. Which project was better for the community? The country? The region? Why?
In answering the above questions:
• Note that outside reading and/or additional research is encouraged.
• Compile a comprehensive set of assumptions for each project – making clear any missing information and additional assumptions that you were required to make.
• Develop a risk matrix for each.
• Develop a decision tree for each.
• Develop cash flows to support your NPV model for each project.
• Link the risk matrix, decision tree and your NPV model for each project. Clearly show the impact of the externalities on your NPV models.
• Demonstrate your mastery of tools/methods for incorporating externalities into rudimentary project evaluation frameworks including (but not limited to) NPV, RiskMatrices & Decision Trees.
• Incorporate a discussion of your financial models into the Assignment.
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