Intelligence Estimate & Issue Paper - Case Study - IT Assignment Help

Assignment Task

Intelligence Estimate & Issue Paper - Assessment Task Guidelines:
The ability to research and write a succinct, critically analysed and predictive Intelligence Estimate and Issue Paper that consider alternative positions, using a bottom line upfront (BLUF) writing style, is a core capability for an intelligence analyst in any and every intelligence discipline.
Pick one (1) of the following case study scenarios, then research and build your Intelligence Estimate & Issue Paper using the guidance provided below.
You will use an ‘Intelligence Estimate’ analytical approach to build your paper, employing intelligence preparation of the operational environment or battlespace (IPOE/JIPB), including centres of gravity analysis leading to most likely & most dangerous potential adversary courses of action (CoA). Additional guidance is provided below. Always consider and assess alternative predictive assessments or alternative futures when arriving at most likely & most dangerous course of action (COA) determination. Be critically minded and balanced, yet decisive at the same time, indicating your level of certainty and identifying key knowledge gaps.

Intelligence Estimate & Issue Paper – Subjects (‘Up and Out’ – Foreign Intelligence):
Scenario 1. North Korea Nuclear & Ballistic Missile Program: You are a Defence Intelligence Organisation (DIO) or Headquarters Joint Operations Centre (JOC), J2 (Intelligence Directorate), Bungendore intelligence analyst and you have been directed to research, analyse and deliver a comprehensive yet concise ‘Intelligence Estimate’ & one-page ‘Issue Paper’ on the historical, current and projected situation in North Korea concerning its Nuclear Weapons and Ballistic Missile programs. Your assigned mission is to provide an intelligence assessment on this problem using an intelligence preparation of the operational environment approach to support the development of potential future Australian national courses of action (CoAs). You will need to assess North Korea’s Nuclear and Ballistic Missile program capabilities and assess its intent to employ them: how, when and where -- most likely and most dangerous courses of action (COAs).

Scenario 2. PRC Maritime Territorial Ambitions in the South China Sea: You are a Defence Intelligence Organisation (DIO) or Headquarters Joint Operations Centre (JOC), J2 (Intelligence Directorate), Bungendore intelligence analyst and you have been directed to build a comprehensive yet concise ‘Intelligence Estimate’ & one-page ‘Issue Paper’ on the historical, current and projected situation in the South China Sea involving expansive People’s Republic of China (PRC) maritime territorial claims. Your assigned mission is to provide an intelligence assessment on this problem using an intelligence preparation of the operational environment approach to support the development of potential future Australian national courses of action (CoAs). You will need to assess the PRC’s expansive maritime territorial claims and supporting activities in the South China Sea, as well as China’s future intentions, to include most likely and most dangerous potential courses of action (COAs).

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