International Investments and Emerging Markets (IEM): Hungary - Accounting & Finance Assignment Help

Assignment Task

International Investments and Emerging Markets (IEM) Assessment: Hungary

For completing the module successfully all students are required to submit a detailed analytical report on an emerging market. You have been allocated an Emerging Market (see next page). The aim is to gain useful insights on the characteristics and performance of an emerging market allocated to you.
The final grade will be based on the quality and rigour of research. It is important that you produce a report based on your own research work and not merely reproduce information and contents available on the worldwide web.  

Introduction: what is the report about, what is special about the market, why an analysis is required, who may use the analysis, what, if any, special features of the market you found really fascinating, basic information about the capital market.

Economic Analysis: Should include:
Five-year World Bank/IMF country level annual data to perform analysis using relevant methods discussed in the lectures:
Economic performance of the economy
GDP growth rate
Fiscal deficit as percentage of GDP
Budget deficit as percentage of GDP
Current account balance to GDP
Total debt as percentage of GDP
Corporate debt as percentage of GDP
Total external debt to GDP
Short term external debt to GDP
Foreign currency reserves as percentage of GDP
Capital and portfolio inflows as percentage of GDP
Exports as percentage of GDP
Imports as percentage of GDP
Foreign Direct Investments as Percentage of GDP
Portfolio Investments as percentage of GDP
Interest rates trends
Inflation and monetary policy constraints
Financial Fragility Score
Real Credit Growth
Banking Sectors solvency

Interpret the trends seen from the data above and discuss in the context of key features of the broader economic policy, fiscal and monetary policy. Major sectors of the economy, most influential companies/banks, health of the banking sector, currency regime and its impact on exports/imports.
Collect five-year monthly data on stock return index, exchange rate against USD to analyse using appropriate methods discussed in the lectures:
Stock market returns in local currency and in USD
Stock market volatility local currency
Exchange rate volatility
Correlation between stock returns and exchange rate volatility
How the returns compare to MSCI EM Index returns over the same period
Provide discussion of capital markets by tabulating market capitalisation, number of stocks listed, turnover, returns, volatility, relative performance to its nearest competitor market. Relative valuation of the market, its fundamentals and future trajectory.
Provide a discussion of specific provisions regarding Foreign Institutional Investors investment and repatriation restrictions, if any. Tax on foreign dividends and capital gains.
Present a half page summary of prospects of the economy, its stock market, performance and returns prospects of specific industry and key risks.

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