Highlights
The board of your firm has asked you to forecast and report on the impact of potential new macro-prudential policies introduced by the Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority (APRA) to guard against domestic asset price bubbles over the next few years. You're required to gauge and explain the effect of these new macro-prudential rules on the Australian cash rate, exchange rate, inflation, unemployment, and GDP growth over the next 3 years.
State any necessary assumptions used in your forecast. In particular, state the expected:
Macro-prudential measures that you believe APRA will implement;Impact on Australian house prices which might be an important driver of your results if you choose to use the MARTIN model 'Fall in house prices' scenario (Ballantyne, 2019) to guide your analysis.
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