NSW Health Process of Facility Planning (POFP) - Forecasting Health Service Need - Nursing Assignment Help

Assignment Task:

Task:

Assessment Task : Forecasting Health Service Need

Task: Students will use information provided in online sessions, assignment guidelines, subject readings and independent study to investigate, analyse, graph and report potential outcomes of alternative future scenarios to inform health service need. Students will create two futures for a specific condition, one normative and another where they identify and analyse evidence informed service design, delivery and other changes that could positively and/or negatively impact the normative outcome.

Foreword
The NSW Process of Facility Planning (POFP) provides a robust framework for planning and procuringcapital infrastructure across the NSW public health system. It comprises four sequential and inter-connected
 

stages:

Stage 1 Service Procurement Plan (SPP)
Stage 2 Project Definition Plan (PDP)
Stage 3 Project Implementation (PI)
Stage 4 Post Occupancy Evaluation (POE)

The POFP is integrated with the NSW Government’s mandatory whole of government approach to the efficient allocation and use of health resources, which includes:

•  The NSW Government Total Asset Management (TAM) policy which provides NSW Government agencies with a systematic approach for planning and managing assets to meet service delivery priorities and strategies. TAM strategies are an integral component of the NSW Treasury budget process and input to the State Infrastructure Planning.
•  Robust processes for the planning, implementation and evaluation of capital projects.
•  Independent reviews at key stages in the procurement process to assess whether the processes used to develop and implement a project are sound, and to achieve systematic improvement in the procurement process.
•  Project monitoring and reporting requirements between NSW Government agencies and NSW Treasury at key points in the procurement cycle.

Estimated Demand for Women’s Health Services by 2020

Abstract

Objective: To estimate the demand for women’s health care by 2020 using today’s national utilization standards. Methods: This descriptive study incorporated the most current national data resources to design a simulation model to create a health and economic profile for a representative sample of women from each state. Demand was determined utilizing equations about projected use of obstetrics-gynecology (ob-gyn) services. Applying patient profile and health care demand equations, we estimated the demand for providers in 2010 in each state for comparison with supply based on the 2010 American Medical Association Masterfile. U.S. Census Bureau population projections were used to project women’s health care demands in 2020. Results: The national demand for women’s health care is forecast to grow by 6% by 2020. Most (81%) ob-gyn related services will be for women of reproductive age (18–44 years old). Growth in demand is forecast to be highest in states with the greatest population growth (Texas, Florida), where supply is currently less than adequate (western United States), and among Hispanic women. This increase in demand by 2020 will translate into a need for physicians or nonphysician clinicians, which is clinically equivalent to 2,090 full-time ob-gyns. Conclusion: Using today’s national norms of ob-gyn related services, a modest growth in women’s health care demands is estimated by 2020 that will require a larger provider workforce.

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