Highlights
At Cadogan development projects are set out in the development pipeline. It is sub-divided into four parts:
i. feasibility;
ii. design / planning / tender;
iii. construction;
iv. completion.
The pipeline formally identifies projects for the next 5 years or so, that have been defined. However, other potential development opportunities aren’t formally recorded. These exist and are discussed, such as the aspiration to provide more medical accommodation, additional hotels and a private members club.
Martin (1995) defines foresight as the ‘process involved in systematically attempting to look into the longer term future of science, technology, the economy and society with the aim of identifying areas … likely to yield the greatest economic and social benefits’. Auvinen et al (2012) advise that to stay resilient, long term foresight is essential, to complement shorter-term planning.
Therefore, the three key strands of the study include: the Cadogan Estate; foresight techniques in urban planning and uncanny architecture. The following objectives determine the milestones to be achieved and evidence to be established to test the hypothesis:
1. To investigate foresight techniques
2. To assess those foresight techniques that can be used for urban planning
3. To identify the criteria used to select foresight techniques for urban planning
4. To identify what techniques are currently used at Cadogan
5. To assess techniques that may be suitable for use at Cadogan
6. To consider if foresight could be used to avoid uncanny architecture
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