Assignment Task
Introduction
- Introduce the client and their current situation. Reference where you get your information about the client and their current situation, including the current situation of the industry.
- Explain the purpose of the report and structure of the report.
Scenario planning method
- What is scenario planning?
- Why is it useful/important for organisations?
Process
- What method was followed?
Critical uncertainties
What were the two critical uncertainties you identified? Why are they important? How did you select them? Use evidence (figures, tables, graphs, prior academic/industry research – all referenced) to support your explanation.
Present the image (e.g., Figure X) of your four scenarios (i.e., the matrix with four quadrants and the scenarios named) (or you can put it in section 3 – just avoid putting it in the Appendix)
Scenarios
Explain each of the four future scenarios in more detail:
- How do the business, social, and technology trends you identified, play out under each of the four possible scenarios?
- Use evidence to explain how those trends (i.e., the driving forces) are shaping that possible future (i.e., figures, tables, graphs, prior academic/industry research – all referenced).
- What is the plausibility of this scenario manifesting in the future? Use evidence to support your claim and reference where you got that information from.
- At the end of the scenario description, briefly relate the scenario back to the client e.g., ‘in this scenario, [the client] would need to consider [e.g., strategic research and development investments] because [their technology would be outdated in this possible future.’
Conclusion
- Summary of report findings
- Explain next steps (i.e., relate to the next assignment which focuses on recommendations on how to respond to these possible futures
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